“All in all, this suggests that ChatGPT adoption is now stagnating,” Chollet told Fortune over email. While Google Search trends for Minecraft picking up aren’t the strongest indicator that the ChatGPT boom is done, Chollet said if ChatGPT is slowing down because of the season, that might mean it wasn’t experiencing a boom in the first place. “Hell, even Facebook adoption (an app for college students!) didn't pause because of summer break.” After all, he notes, internet adoption and early iPhone adoption didn't pause because of seasonality. The way Chollet sees it, seasonality trends don't affect booms. That downtrend only happens for fully mature apps-otherwise, the adoption ramp-up of an app overrides any seasonal trends, Chollet told Fortune via email.
#Google trends compare professional#
There typically tends to be less professional app usage in summer, he said, as apps for work or school trend down in the summer or on weekends, but then apps related to leisure trend up during those times. But ChatGPT usage is starting to look like it might be. “Internet usage isn’t seasonal,” Chollet told Fortune over email. So, has the internet replaced television to become, in a paraphrase of media theorist Marshall McLuhan, the medium and the message? Well, maybe, but Chollet rejects any comparison to television here. The rise of quality in cable television challenged this at the turn of the millennium, and then cord-cutting completely severed the traditional television calendar. In some ways, this recalls a bygone age of television, pre- Netflix, when the “big three” or “big four” networks would stop airing new episodes as school let out, and the summer was a time of vacations and no new programming, or reruns. He found queries for things like “ChatGPT essay,” “ChatGPT math,” and “ChatGPT history” are the second most prominent type of Google Search, aside from job application-related searches. It’s one of the most common uses for ChatGPT, according to Sam Gilbert, a data scientist and author. There’s only one explanation: a significant portion of students using ChatGPT to do their homework. Search interest over time for ChatGPT has steadily declined, while search interest for Minecraft has steadily increased, he pointed out. Instead of using ChatGPT for education-related activities, the engineer said on Twitter, kids are probably playing Minecraft or enjoying summer activities.
#Google trends compare software#
One thing is clear to Francois Chollet, a software engineer and AI researcher at Google, who told Fortune over email that "one thing is sure: it's not booming anymore.”Ĭhollet thinks he knows what’s going on: summer vacation. The decline was steeper in the U.S., with a 10.3% month-on-month decline, and the number of unique visitors to ChatGPT also fell by 5.7% from the previous month. Traffic to ChatGPT’s website fell by 9.7% in June, according to estimates from Similarweb, a web analytics firm. ChatGPT is losing users for the first time ever, and those users aren’t who you would expect.
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